{"id": "n-6557985a41", "slug": "buxton-springs-shopping-centre", "type": "strip", "name": "Springs Shopping Centre", "aka": [], "city": "Buxton", "county": "Traill County", "state": "ND", "country": "US", "census_division": 4, "lat": 47.60192, "lon": -97.09731, "geocode_method": "nominatim-city", "address": null, "metro": null, "original_use": "shopping centre", "year_opened": null, "year_closed": null, "acres": null, "gla_sqft": null, "stores_peak": null, "levels": null, "original_developer": null, "original_architect": null, "before_notes": "Draft from bbc.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: The Springs Shopping Centre in Buxton is proposed to be redeveloped into new shops, restaurants and 332 new homes.", "strategy": ["redevelop"], "new_use": ["housing", "retail"], "share_retrofit": null, "status": "proposed", "year_retrofit": null, "developer": null, "architect": null, "after_notes": null, "narrative": null, "narrative_license": null, "narrative_source": null, "zoning_change": null, "public_subsidy": null, "entitlement_year": null, "planning_notes": null, "wikidata_qid": null, "wikipedia": null, "osm_id": null, "verified": "draft", "verified_by": null, "last_verified": null, "last_updated": "2026-10-18", "created": "2026-10-18", "contributor_name": null, "contributor_org": null, "contributor_link": null, "international": 0, "county_fips": "38097", "opp_score": 0.0, "opp_reasons": ["already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans", "housing in the record"], "for_sale": 0, "distressed": 0, "url": "https://retrofitatlas.org/strips/nd/buxton-springs-shopping-centre/", "events": [], "sources": [{"id": 8422, "site_id": "n-6557985a41", "url": "https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqx2z1d3en5vo", "title": "Campaigners raise concern over £100m Buxton redevelopment - BBC", "publisher": "bbc.com", "date": null, "quote": null, "kind": "news", "license": null, "retrieved": "2026-10-18"}], "deals": [], "parties": [], "parcels": [], "context": {"assessment": {"what_happened": "Springs Shopping Centre (Buxton, ND) is proposed for redevelopment into housing and retail, per its strategy. Status is 'proposed' with 'verified' as 'draft'.\n\nKey context: Housing market shows $233,747 ZHVI (8.2% annual growth). Retail trends show declining stores (-12%) and jobs (-8%) since 2012. Traffic data shows 879 ADT on a major collector road (DUNSMOOREAVE).\n\nPeers list six similar redevelopments (all 'redevelop' strategy), but locations are distant (VA, CA, UK). Permits show minimal single-family construction (3-4 units) in 2023-2024.\n\nMissing: No parcel details, planning approvals, or deal terms. 'Already in play' reason conflicts with 'proposed' status. Housing market data is 2026-09 (future-dated).", "why": "Record shows proposed redevelopment but lacks confirmation of active development. Declining retail and housing market data are noted, but peer comparisons are geographically irrelevant. No evidence of current construction beyond small-scale permits.", "where_it_stands": "Status unclear: 'proposed' but permits suggest early-stage activity. No planning or deal details provided.", "for_a_planner": ["Declining retail trends noted", "Traffic data available (879 ADT)", "Housing market ZHVI provided"], "for_a_developer": ["Minimal permits for single-family housing", "Peer strategy matches (redevelop)", "No parcel or deal details"], "risks_and_unknowns": ["Status conflict: 'proposed' vs. 'already in play'", "No planning approvals or timeline", "Peer strategy match not geographically relevant", "Housing market data is future-dated (2026-09)"], "data_quality": "partial", "one_line": "Proposed redevelopment into housing/retail; declining retail trends; minimal permits for single-family housing; status conflict with 'already in play' reason.", "model": "qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest", "machine": "Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b)", "record_sha1": "49191e5814ad"}, "elevation": {"elevation_ft": 931.7, "resolution": 1, "source": "USGS EPQS (3DEP)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "food_access": {"tract10": "38097970100", "urban": 0, "lila_1_10": 0, "low_access_1mi": 0, "lapop1share": 66.66208196413291, "poverty_rate": 3.97435897435897, "median_family_income": 84816.0, "snap_households": 69.0, "pop2010": 2412.0, "source": "USDA ERS Food Access Research Atlas 2019 (ArcGIS copy)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "housing_market": {"zhvi": {"latest": 233747, "month": "2026-09", "change_1y": 0.082, "change_5y": -0.0}, "county_fips": "38097", "source": "Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI)"}, "jobs_lodes": {"tract20": "38097970100", "jobs": 659, "retail_jobs": 16, "food_accommodation_jobs": 41, "year": 2022, "source": "Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 (all jobs, primary and secondary), blocks summed to the 2020 tract", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "listings": {"zip": "58218", "month": "202609", "median_listing_price": 200725, "median_listing_price_yy": -0.5438, "active_listing_count": 4, "median_days_on_market": 29, "price_reduced_share": 0.2, "pending_ratio": 0.25, "source": "Realtor.com Research, inventory core metrics by ZIP (ZCTA at the site point)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "opportunity": {"tract10": "38097970100", "kfr_p25": 0.5502, "jail_p25": 0.0402, "kids_count": 288.2699, "commuting_zone": "Grand Forks", "vintage": "children born 1978-83, outcomes measured 2014-15", "source": "Opportunity Insights, Opportunity Atlas (Chetty, Friedman, Hendren, Jones, Porter 2018)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "peers": {"peers": [{"id": "n-734a311729", "name": "Eagle Village Shopping Center", "city": "Fredericksburg", "state": "VA", "score": 4.0, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop"]}, {"id": "n-52c5bc7b31", "name": "Greenbrier Shopping Center", "city": "Fredericksburg", "state": "VA", "score": 4.0, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop"]}, {"id": "n-e03df26111", "name": "San Antonio Shopping Center", "city": "Mountain View", "state": "CA", "score": 4.0, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop"]}, {"id": "n-509f236fc5", "name": "Moonlite Center Development", "city": "Santa Clara", "state": "CA", "score": 4.0, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop"]}, {"id": "n-a6dd5fcae9", "name": "Lewisham Retail Park", "city": "Lewisham", "state": null, "score": 4.0, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop"]}, {"id": "n-12bf0b2d82", "name": "Beverly Plaza Shopping Center", "city": "LOS ANGELES", "state": "CA", "score": 4.0, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop"]}], "method": "size, era, strategy, status, type, state, distance"}, "permits": {"county": "Traill County", "2024": {"units_1": 3, "units_2_4": 0, "units_5plus": 0, "value_total": 991300}, "2023": {"units_1": 4, "units_2_4": 0, "units_5plus": 0, "value_total": 1450000}, "retrieved": "2026-10-18"}, "qcew_retail": {"county": "38097", "year": 2025, "establishments": 29, "employment": 207, "avg_annual_pay": 30860, "lq_employment": 0.59, "employment_change_1y": 0.5, "source": "BLS QCEW 2025 annual, county, NAICS 44-45 retail trade, private", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "retail_trend": {"2012": {"estab": 41, "emp": 311}, "2023": {"estab": 36, "emp": 285}, "estab_change": -0.122, "emp_change": -0.084, "county_fips": "38097"}, "schools": {"district": "Central Valley Public School District 3", "district_geoid": "3804140", "grades": "PK-12", "district_vintage": "SY2024-25", "public_schools_1mi": 0, "schools": [], "schools_vintage": "SY2023-24", "source": "NCES EDGE", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "storms": {"county": "38097", "years": "2016-2025", "events": 129, "by_type": {"Thunderstorm Wind": 68, "Hail": 40, "Tornado": 8, "Funnel Cloud": 7, "Flood": 3, "Flash Flood": 2, "Heavy Rain": 1}, "property_damage_usd": 1350000, "deaths_direct": 0, "injuries_direct": 0, "note": "county-typed events only; events logged to forecast zones (CZ_TYPE Z: most winter, heat, flood and coastal events) are not counted", "source": "NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "traffic": {"max_aadt": 879, "trucks_aadt": null, "road": "DUNSMOOREAVE", "class": "major collector", "lanes": 2, "segments_600m": 10, "year": "2024", "source": "FHWA HPMS", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}}, "elements": [{"slug": "use-retail", "name": "Retail (continued)", "group_": "use", "evidence": "new_use field", "origin": "record"}, {"slug": "strategy-redevelop", "name": "Redeveloped", "group_": "strategy", "evidence": "", "origin": "record"}, {"slug": "use-housing", "name": "Housing", "group_": "use", "evidence": "new_use field", "origin": "record"}, {"slug": "place-retail-shrinking-county", "name": "County lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012", "group_": "place", "evidence": "-12%", "origin": "census-cbp"}, {"slug": "place-shrinking-county", "name": "Shrinking county", "group_": "place", "evidence": "-0.5%", "origin": "census-acs"}, {"slug": "status-pipeline", "name": "Retrofit in the pipeline", "group_": "finance", "evidence": "proposed", "origin": "record"}], "details": {}, "photos": [], "provenance": {"state": "census-geocoder"}, "restricted_fields": {"parcels": ["owner_addr", "assessed", "taxable", "tax_amount", "sale_price", "deed_ref"], "deals": ["price", "price_per_acre", "price_per_sqft", "loan_amount", "asking_price"], "how": "free API key: POST /api/v1/keys {\"email\": …}"}}