{"id": "n-bdf2addd85", "slug": "herndon-lincoln-park-herndon", "type": "office-park", "name": "Lincoln Park Herndon", "aka": [], "city": "Herndon", "county": "Fairfax County", "state": "VA", "country": "US", "census_division": 5, "lat": 38.96953, "lon": -77.38595, "geocode_method": "nominatim-city", "address": null, "metro": null, "original_use": "office and industrial land", "year_opened": null, "year_closed": null, "acres": null, "gla_sqft": null, "stores_peak": null, "levels": null, "original_developer": null, "original_architect": null, "before_notes": "Draft from foxessellfaster.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: Lincoln Park Herndon office and industrial land is proposed to be redeveloped into up to 281 homes on roughly 15.53 acres.", "strategy": ["redevelop"], "new_use": ["housing"], "share_retrofit": null, "status": "proposed", "year_retrofit": null, "developer": "K. Hovnanian Homes", "architect": null, "after_notes": "up to 281 homes on roughly 15.53 acres", "narrative": null, "narrative_license": null, "narrative_source": null, "zoning_change": "from I- (General Industrial) District to the PDH- (Planned Development Housing, permitting up to du/ac) District (Site-Specific Plan Amendment (SSPA))", "public_subsidy": null, "entitlement_year": null, "planning_notes": null, "wikidata_qid": null, "wikipedia": null, "osm_id": null, "verified": "draft", "verified_by": null, "last_verified": null, "last_updated": "2026-10-18", "created": "2026-10-18", "contributor_name": null, "contributor_org": null, "contributor_link": null, "international": 0, "county_fips": "51059", "opp_score": 10.0, "opp_reasons": ["already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans", "median rent $2,230", "housing in the record"], "for_sale": 0, "distressed": 0, "url": "https://retrofitatlas.org/office-parks/va/herndon-lincoln-park-herndon/", "events": [], "sources": [{"id": 8847, "site_id": "n-bdf2addd85", "url": "https://www.foxessellfaster.com/blog/lincoln-park-herndon-office-conversion-281-homes/", "title": "Lincoln Park Herndon Office Conversion Plan", "publisher": "foxessellfaster.com", "date": null, "quote": "Lincoln Park Herndon", "kind": "news", "license": null, "retrieved": "2026-10-18"}], "deals": [], "parties": [{"name": "K. Hovnanian Homes", "kind": "developer", "role": "developer", "year_from": null, "year_to": null}], "parcels": [], "context": {"assessment": {"what_happened": "Proposed redevelopment of former industrial site (I- zoning) to housing (PDH zoning) in Herndon, VA. Developer K. Hovnanian Homes plans up to 281 homes on 15.53 acres. Site-specific zoning amendment approved (SSPA).", "why": "Zoning changed from industrial to housing district. Market shows rising housing demand (ZHVI $756k, +1.2% YoY). 11 nearby projects within 10km (all proposed redevelopments), including 0km away Woodland Park office park.", "where_it_stands": "Status: proposed. Not yet under construction. Developer role confirmed. No timeline or completion date provided.", "for_a_planner": ["Zoning change (I- to PDH) is documented.", "11 nearby housing/office redevelopments within 10km (all proposed).", "Housing market data available (ZHVI, ZORI)."], "for_a_developer": ["Site-specific zoning amendment approved.", "Market data supports housing demand (ZHVI $756k, ZORI $2,507/mo).", "No construction start date or cost data provided."], "risks_and_unknowns": ["No timeline for construction.", "No community feedback or environmental review details.", "No cost/budget data provided.", "Status 'proposed' but 'opportunity score' cites 'already in play'—conflict in record."], "data_quality": "partial", "one_line": "Proposed housing redevelopment on 15.53 acres (I- to PDH zoning), 11 nearby projects within 10km, market data shows housing demand.", "model": "qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest", "machine": "Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b)", "record_sha1": "da82e81671cc"}, "cluster": {"within_10km": [{"id": "n-39905d7686", "name": "Woodland Park office park", "city": "Herndon", "status": "proposed", "km": 0.0}, {"id": "n-f46271099f", "name": "575 Herndon Parkway", "city": "Herndon", "status": "approved", "km": 1.6}, {"id": "n-3ab9acdeed", "name": "10800 Parkridge Boulevard", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 2.6}, {"id": "n-7e555beee0", "name": "10701 Parkridge Boulevard", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 2.6}, {"id": "n-db89351b3b", "name": "10690 Parkridge Boulevard", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 2.6}, {"id": "n-ebd29e537e", "name": "Alexander Bell Drive", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 2.6}, {"id": "n-ec2705a10e", "name": "Preston White Drive", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 2.6}, {"id": "n-e7d2647548", "name": "Reston Crossing", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 3.0}, {"id": "n-915c56e5d3", "name": "Reston National Golf Course", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 3.6}, {"id": "n-6983c57d04", "name": "Makers Point offices", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 5.5}, {"id": "n-e995d5adee", "name": "Lake Fairfax Business Park", "city": "Reston", "status": "proposed", "km": 5.6}], "count_10km": 11, "count_25km": 28}, "elevation": {"elevation_ft": 363.1, "resolution": 1, "source": "USGS EPQS (3DEP)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "food_access": {"tract10": "51059480902", "urban": 1, "lila_1_10": 0, "low_access_1mi": 0, "poverty_rate": 5.1775887943972, "median_family_income": 97045.0, "snap_households": 111.0, "pop2010": 3578.0, "source": "USDA ERS Food Access Research Atlas 2019 (ArcGIS copy)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "housing_market": {"zhvi": {"latest": 756212, "month": "2026-09", "change_1y": 0.012, "change_5y": 0.169}, "zori": {"latest": 2507, "month": "2026-09", "change_1y": 0.011, "change_5y": 0.217}, "county_fips": "51059", "source": "Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI)"}, "jobs_lodes": {"tract20": "51059480902", "jobs": 9470, "retail_jobs": 58, "food_accommodation_jobs": 265, "year": 2022, "source": "Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 (all jobs, primary and secondary), blocks summed to the 2020 tract", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "listings": {"zip": "20170", "month": "202609", "median_listing_price": 638725, "median_listing_price_yy": -0.0322, "active_listing_count": 65, "median_days_on_market": 36, "price_reduced_share": 0.2401, "pending_ratio": 0.2016, "source": "Realtor.com Research, inventory core metrics by ZIP (ZCTA at the site point)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "opportunity": {"tract10": "51059480902", "kfr_p25": 0.4811, "jail_p25": 0.0163, "kids_count": 442.3256, "commuting_zone": "Washington DC", "vintage": "children born 1978-83, outcomes measured 2014-15", "source": "Opportunity Insights, Opportunity Atlas (Chetty, Friedman, Hendren, Jones, Porter 2018)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "peers": {"peers": [{"id": "n-e9c006c891", "name": "Prosperity Business Campus", "city": "Merrifield", "state": "VA", "score": 6.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in VA", "17 km away"]}, {"id": "n-c270fd80aa", "name": "1950 Old Gallows Road", "city": "Tysons", "state": "VA", "score": 6.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in VA", "16 km away"]}, {"id": "n-e995d5adee", "name": "Lake Fairfax Business Park", "city": "Reston", "state": "VA", "score": 6.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in VA", "6 km away"]}, {"id": "n-39905d7686", "name": "Woodland Park office park", "city": "Herndon", "state": "VA", "score": 6.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in VA", "0 km away"]}, {"id": "n-ff377dbbff", "name": "Fair Oaks Business Park", "city": "Fair Oaks", "state": "VA", "score": 6.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in VA", "12 km away"]}, {"id": "n-6983c57d04", "name": "Makers Point offices", "city": "Reston", "state": "VA", "score": 6.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in VA", "6 km away"]}], "method": "size, era, strategy, status, type, state, distance"}, "permits": {"county": "Fairfax County", "2024": {"units_1": 1032, "units_2_4": 0, "units_5plus": 1829, "value_total": 497832451}, "2023": {"units_1": 1204, "units_2_4": 2, "units_5plus": 2042, "value_total": 466553009}, "retrieved": "2026-10-18"}, "qcew_retail": {"county": "51059", "year": 2025, "establishments": 2426, "employment": 49323, "avg_annual_pay": 51506, "lq_employment": 0.79, "employment_change_1y": 0.8, "source": "BLS QCEW 2025 annual, county, NAICS 44-45 retail trade, private", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "retail_trend": {"2012": {"estab": 2730, "emp": 50096}, "2023": {"estab": 2457, "emp": 49386}, "estab_change": -0.1, "emp_change": -0.014, "county_fips": "51059"}, "schools": {"district": "Fairfax County Public Schools", "district_geoid": "5101260", "grades": "PK-12", "district_vintage": "SY2024-25", "public_schools_1mi": 2, "schools": ["Herndon Elementary", "Herndon Middle"], "schools_vintage": "SY2023-24", "source": "NCES EDGE", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "storms": {"county": "51059", "years": "2016-2025", "events": 780, "by_type": {"Thunderstorm Wind": 386, "Flood": 246, "Flash Flood": 103, "Hail": 39, "Tornado": 5, "Funnel Cloud": 1}, "property_damage_usd": 4587000, "deaths_direct": 2, "injuries_direct": 0, "note": "county-typed events only; events logged to forecast zones (CZ_TYPE Z: most winter, heat, flood and coastal events) are not counted", "source": "NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "traffic": {"max_aadt": 16565, "trucks_aadt": 193, "road": "Elden ST", "class": "minor arterial", "lanes": 4, "segments_600m": 35, "year": "2024", "source": "FHWA HPMS", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}}, "elements": [{"slug": "place-mall-cluster", "name": "3+ other atlas sites within 10 km", "group_": "place", "evidence": "11 within 10 km", "origin": "computed"}, {"slug": "strategy-redevelop", "name": "Redeveloped", "group_": "strategy", "evidence": "up to 281 homes on roughly 15.53 acres", "origin": "record"}, {"slug": "use-housing", "name": "Housing", "group_": "use", "evidence": "new_use field", "origin": "newtypes-extraction"}, {"slug": "policy-rezoning", "name": "Rezoning", "group_": "policy", "evidence": "from I- (General Industrial) District to the PDH- (Planned Development Housing, permitting up to du/ac) District (Site-Specific Plan Amendment (SSPA))", "origin": "newtypes-extraction"}, {"slug": "place-retail-shrinking-county", "name": "County lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012", "group_": "place", "evidence": "-10%", "origin": "census-cbp"}, {"slug": "place-rent-2000-plus", "name": "County typical rent $2,000+", "group_": "place", "evidence": "$2,507/mo", "origin": "zillow"}, {"slug": "policy-masterplan", "name": "Master plan or PUD", "group_": "policy", "evidence": "Development Housing, permitting up to du/ac) District (Site-Specific Plan Amendment (SSPA)) up to 281 homes on roughly 15.53 acres", "origin": "record"}, {"slug": "status-pipeline", "name": "Retrofit in the pipeline", "group_": "finance", "evidence": "proposed", "origin": "newtypes-extraction"}], "details": {}, "photos": [], "provenance": {"status": "newtypes-extraction", "after_notes": "newtypes-extraction", "developer": "newtypes-extraction", "zoning_change": "newtypes-extraction"}, "restricted_fields": {"parcels": ["owner_addr", "assessed", "taxable", "tax_amount", "sale_price", "deed_ref"], "deals": ["price", "price_per_acre", "price_per_sqft", "loan_amount", "asking_price"], "how": "free API key: POST /api/v1/keys {\"email\": …}"}}