Malls · California
Hillsdale Mall
Proposed redevelopment flagged as 'already in play' amid declining retail, high housing costs, and active nearby development. · summary, model-written
Solid = from the authors' map · outlined = public source · dashed = model-written, not yet reviewed by a person. Tap any value's source label to see where it came from. documented = a quoted excerpt (click to read it) · reported = a source named, no excerpt yet · no source.
Site profile10 elements · what this retrofit is built with · tap a chip for the evidence
Retrofit in the pipeline
This site: …proposed newtypes-extraction · all sites with this3+ other atlas sites within 10 km
This site: 5 within 10 km computed · all sites with this30,000+ vehicles a day on an adjacent road
This site: 34,000 on 82 fhwa-hpms · all sites with thisCounty lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012
This site: -11% census-cbp · all sites with thisCounty typical rent $2,000+
This site: $3,993/mo zillow · all sites with thisShrinking county
This site: -2.7% census-acs · all sites with thisRedeveloped
This site: record · all sites with thisHousing
This site: …new_use field record · all sites with thisOffice
This site: …new_use field record · all sites with thisRetail (continued)
This site: …new_use field record · all sites with thisNow
| Status | Retrofit proposednewtypes-extraction reported |
|---|---|
| Strategy | Redevelopment, proposedWikipedia no source |
| New uses | housing, office, retailWikipedia no source |
Site context
| Housing permits, San Mateo County (CA), 2024 | 538 units in 5+ unit buildings, 29 in 2–4, 521 single-family; 2023: 750 in 5+Census BPS |
|---|---|
| Other atlas sites nearby | 5 within 10 km, 18 within 25 km: 2820 South El Camino Real (0.0 km); 668 East 3rd Avenue (0.7 km); 3000 Clearview Way (3.4 km); Hillsdale Shopping Center (3.6 km); San Mateo Fashion Island (3.9 km)computed |
| Retail trade in the county, 2025 (BLS QCEW) | 28,461 jobs in 1,714 establishments; average annual pay $58,616; employment location quotient 0.70; employment -3.1% on the yearBLS QCEW 2025, NAICS 44-45, private |
| Jobs located in the tract, 2022 | 8,037 jobs; 658 in retail trade, 1,758 in accommodation and food (workplace blocks summed to tract 06081606300)Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 |
| Upward mobility (Opportunity Atlas, 2010 tract) | children of low-income (25th percentile) families reached the 49th income percentile as adults; 1.6% incarcerated at the 2010 count (319 children in the sample); born 1978–83, measured 2014–15Opportunity Insights |
| Food access (USDA FARA 2019, 2010 tract) | not a low-access tract at 1 mile; poverty rate 6.4%; median family income $126,131; 61 SNAP householdsUSDA ERS |
| Schools | San Mateo Union High School District (09-12); 7 public schools within 1 mile: South Hillsborough; Baywood Elementary; Borel Middle; College Park ElementaryNCES EDGE |
| Elevation | 46 ft above sea level at the site pointUSGS 3DEP |
| Storm events in the county, 2016-2025 | 101 county-logged events: 50 flood, 18 debris flow, 15 thunderstorm wind, 9 hail; $10,060 property damage reported; forecast-zone events (most flood, winter and heat) not countedNOAA Storm Events |
| Homes for sale in ZIP 94401, 2026-09 | median list price $770,450 (+10.2% on the year); 34 active listings; median 35 days on market; 13% with a price cutRealtor.com Research |
| Retail trade in the county, 2012 to 2023 | 1,827 establishments (-11%); 32,272 jobs (-5%)Census CBP |
| Housing market in the county | typical home value $1.6M (+4% 1 yr, +8% 5 yr); typical rent $3,993/mo (+11% 1 yr), 2026-09Zillow Research |
| Traffic on the busiest road within 600 m (2024) | 34,000 vehicles a day on 82 (principal arterial, 6 lanes); 1,255 trucks; 31 counted segmentsFHWA HPMS |
Summary, model-written
Hillsdale Mall (San Mateo, CA) is proposed for redevelopment to housing, office, and retail. The opportunity is flagged as 'already in play' (under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans), with county population declining 2.7% (2018–23), median rent $2,893, and high housing costs (ZHVI $1.58M, ZORI $3,993). Nearby projects include a proposed 0km adjacent site (2820 South El Camino Real) and approved housing developments within 3.6km. Retail employment declined 5.1% since 2012, while 2024 permits show 521 residential units approved.
Why. Record explicitly lists 'already in play' as a key reason against opportunity status, with contextual data on declining retail, high housing costs, and active nearby development.
Where it stands. Status: proposed. Noted as not a new opportunity due to existing development activity. Context shows strong housing market demand but declining retail.
For a planner
- County population decline noted
- Retail employment down 5.1% since 2012
- Nearby housing projects approved/under construction
For a developer
- High housing costs (ZHVI $1.58M)
- Median rent $2,893
- Adjacent site proposed at 0km (2820 South El Camino Real)
What we do not know yet
- No approval status confirmed for Hillsdale redevelopment
- No current construction timeline provided
- No specific housing mix (e.g., affordable vs. market-rate)
Generated by qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest on Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b) from the fields, parcels, deals and context layers on this page, with no outside knowledge. It is regenerated when the record changes and has not been checked by a person. How it is made.
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Elsewhere on the web
Search images: Google · Bing · Commons · references: ULI case studies · Google Scholar
Multifamily screen
- already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans
- county shrank -2.7% 2018–23
- median rent $2,893
- housing in the record
Inputs: record fields (size, status) and county Census ACS 2018–2023 figures (growth, rent). How the points work. Not a recommendation.
History and original facts
| County | San Mateo County |
|---|---|
| Census division | 9 · Pacific |
| Notes | Draft from cityofsanmateo.org, model-extracted, unreviewed: Hillsdale Mall, an existing retail mall in San Mateo, CA, is proposed to be redeveloped with up to 1,670 residential units and 2,059,000 GSF of new commercial development. |
Not yet recorded: acres, GLA, year opened, original developer, what is there now, retrofit year. Know it? Tell us.
Timeline
- 2025 Formal Planning Application submitted
- 2026 Planning Application deemed complete
Sources
- Hillsdale Mall Redevelopment - Mixed-Use Development
3 quoted sentences
Hillsdale Mall
June 23, 2025 - Formal Planning Application submitted.
June 1, 2026 - Planning Application deemed complete.
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