Strip centers · Virginia
Greenbrier Shopping Center
Proposed 173-unit townhome conversion (NVR, Inc.) with 2024 permits for 37 units; zoning approved 2017; housing market demand strong. · summary, model-written
Solid = from the authors' map · outlined = public source · dashed = model-written, not yet reviewed by a person. Tap any value's source label to see where it came from. documented = a quoted excerpt (click to read it) · reported = a source named, no excerpt yet · no source.
Site profile4 elements · what this retrofit is built with · tap a chip for the evidence
Retrofit in the pipeline
This site: …proposed newtypes-extraction · all sites with thisShrinking county
This site: -0.3% census-acs · all sites with thisRedeveloped
This site: 173 townhomes record · all sites with thisHousing
This site: 173 townhomes newtypes-extraction · all sites with thisNow
| Status | Retrofit proposednewtypes-extraction reported |
|---|---|
| Strategy | Redevelopment, proposedWikipedia no source |
| New uses | housingWikipedia no source |
| What is there now | 173 townhomesnewtypes-extraction reported |
| Retrofit year | 2017newtypes-extraction reported |
| Redeveloper | NVR, Inc., the parent company of Ryan Homesnewtypes-extraction reported |
Planning
| Zoning change | from Commercial Shopping Center to Commercial Highwaynewtypes-extraction reported |
|---|---|
| Entitlement year | 2017Wikipedia no source |
Site context
| Housing permits, Fredericksburg(Independent Cit (VA), 2024 | 0 units in 5+ unit buildings, 0 in 2–4, 37 single-family; 2023: 0 in 5+Census BPS |
|---|---|
| Other atlas sites nearby | 1 within 10 km, 1 within 25 km: Eagle Village Shopping Center (0.0 km)computed |
| Retail trade in the county, 2025 (BLS QCEW) | 3,364 jobs in 234 establishments; average annual pay $36,622; employment location quotient 1.36; employment -1.2% on the yearBLS QCEW 2025, NAICS 44-45, private |
| Jobs located in the tract, 2022 | 3,811 jobs; 223 in retail trade, 962 in accommodation and food (workplace blocks summed to tract 51630000100)Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 |
| Upward mobility (Opportunity Atlas, 2010 tract) | children of low-income (25th percentile) families reached the 42th income percentile as adults; 3.2% incarcerated at the 2010 count (126 children in the sample); born 1978–83, measured 2014–15Opportunity Insights |
| Food access (USDA FARA 2019, 2010 tract) | not a low-access tract at 1 mile; 6% of residents more than 1 mile from a supermarket; poverty rate 9.8%; median family income $130,000; 141 SNAP householdsUSDA ERS |
| Schools | Fredericksburg City Public Schools (PK-12); 1 public school within 1 mile: Walker-Grant Early Childhood CenterNCES EDGE |
| Elevation | 39 ft above sea level at the site pointUSGS 3DEP |
| Storm events in the county, 2016-2025 | 22 county-logged events: 14 thunderstorm wind, 7 flood, 1 hail; $2,090,500 property damage reported; forecast-zone events (most flood, winter and heat) not countedNOAA Storm Events |
| Homes for sale in ZIP 22401, 2026-09 | median list price $584,950 (-7.0% on the year); 73 active listings; median 54 days on market; 26% with a price cutRealtor.com Research |
| Retail trade in the county, 2012 to 2023 | 246 establishments (-2%); 4,024 jobs (-3%)Census CBP |
| Housing market in the county | typical home value $467,891 (+2% 1 yr, +18% 5 yr); typical rent $1,933/mo (+5% 1 yr), 2026-09Zillow Research |
| Traffic on the busiest road within 600 m (2024) | 13,154 vehicles a day on 1 (minor arterial, 2 lanes); 142 trucks; 39 counted segmentsFHWA HPMS |
Summary, model-written
Greenbrier Shopping Center (Fredericksburg, VA) is proposed for redevelopment into 173 townhomes, per NVR, Inc. (Ryan Homes parent). Zoning changed from Commercial Shopping Center to Commercial Highway in 2017. Permits show 37 units approved in 2024 (total value $11.3M), with 82 units in 2023. Events confirm 2017 rezoning and 2024 pre-application for townhomes. Status remains 'proposed' despite active permitting.
Why. Zoning entitlements secured in 2017; developer active since 2017; housing market shows strong demand (ZORI $1,933/month, 24% 5-year growth).
Where it stands. In progress: 2024 permits for 37 units, but full 173-unit project not yet built. Only one peer within 10km (Eagle Village Shopping Center, also proposed).
For a planner
- Zoning change approved 2017
- Traffic: minor arterial (13,154 ADT, 2 lanes)
- Housing market data available (ZHVI $468k, ZORI $1,933)
For a developer
- NVR, Inc. holds development rights
- 173-unit housing target aligns with local market
- Peer cluster limited to 1 nearby project
What we do not know yet
- Full project completion timeline unknown
- 173-unit target vs. 37 units permitted in 2024 not reconciled
- No current construction status beyond 2024 permits
Generated by qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest on Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b) from the fields, parcels, deals and context layers on this page, with no outside knowledge. It is regenerated when the record changes and has not been checked by a person. How it is made.
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Elsewhere on the web
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Multifamily screen
- already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans
- median rent $1,521
- housing in the record
Inputs: record fields (size, status) and county Census ACS 2018–2023 figures (growth, rent). How the points work. Not a recommendation.
History and original facts
| County | Fredericksburg city |
|---|---|
| Census division | 5 · South Atlantic |
| Notes | Draft from fxbgadvance.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: Proposed construction of 173 townhomes at a former shopping center that was rezoned in 2017. |
Not yet recorded: acres, GLA, year opened, original developer. Know it? Tell us.
Timeline
- 2017 Land rezoned
- 2017 Retrofit: redevelop
- 2024 Pre-application for 173 townhomes reviewed
Sources
- City Planning Commission to Consider Eagle Village Rezoning
3 quoted sentences
Greenbrier Shopping Center
This land was rezoned from Commercial Shopping Center to Commercial Highway in 2017, when the Area 3 plan was approved.
In November, the planning department’s technical review committee reviewed a pre-application from NVR, Inc., the parent company of Ryan Homes, which proposed to construct 173 townhomes at the Greenbrier Shopping Center.
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