Office parks · Virginia
Prosperity Business Campus
Proposed office-park redevelopment to housing/park; aligned with market data but status unclear (proposed vs. 'in play'). · summary, model-written
Solid = from the authors' map · outlined = public source · dashed = model-written, not yet reviewed by a person. Tap any value's source label to see where it came from. documented = a quoted excerpt (click to read it) · reported = a source named, no excerpt yet · no source.
Site profile8 elements · what this retrofit is built with · tap a chip for the evidence
Retrofit in the pipeline
This site: …proposed newtypes-extraction · all sites with this3+ other atlas sites within 10 km
This site: 11 within 10 km computed · all sites with this30,000+ vehicles a day on an adjacent road
This site: 34,430 on 650 fhwa-hpms · all sites with thisCounty lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012
This site: -10% census-cbp · all sites with thisCounty typical rent $2,000+
This site: $2,507/mo zillow · all sites with thisRedeveloped
This site: record · all sites with thisHousing
This site: …new_use field record · all sites with thisPark and open space
This site: …new_use field record · all sites with thisNow
| Status | Retrofit proposednewtypes-extraction reported |
|---|---|
| Strategy | Redevelopment, proposedWikipedia no source |
| New uses | housing, parkWikipedia no source |
Site context
| Housing permits, Fairfax County (VA), 2024 | 1,829 units in 5+ unit buildings, 0 in 2–4, 1,032 single-family; 2023: 2,042 in 5+Census BPS |
|---|---|
| Other atlas sites nearby | 11 within 10 km, 62 within 25 km: Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments (0.0 km); Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments (0.0 km); 1950 Old Gallows Road (4.1 km); Office building at 10340 Democracy Lane (4.2 km); Courthouse Plaza Shopping Center (4.2 km)computed |
| Retail trade in the county, 2025 (BLS QCEW) | 49,323 jobs in 2,426 establishments; average annual pay $51,506; employment location quotient 0.79; employment +0.8% on the yearBLS QCEW 2025, NAICS 44-45, private |
| Jobs located in the tract, 2022 | 10,929 jobs; 1,150 in retail trade, 2,039 in accommodation and food (workplace blocks summed to tract 51059440201)Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 |
| Upward mobility (Opportunity Atlas, 2010 tract) | children of low-income (25th percentile) families reached the 50th income percentile as adults; 8.3% incarcerated at the 2010 count (321 children in the sample); born 1978–83, measured 2014–15Opportunity Insights |
| Food access (USDA FARA 2019, 2010 tract) | not a low-access tract at 1 mile; 0% of residents more than 1 mile from a supermarket; poverty rate 4.7%; median family income $140,484; 36 SNAP householdsUSDA ERS |
| Schools | Fairfax County Public Schools (PK-12); 3 public schools within 1 mile: Jackson Middle; Stenwood Elementary; Interagency Alternative Secondary CenterNCES EDGE |
| Elevation | 358 ft above sea level at the site pointUSGS 3DEP |
| Storm events in the county, 2016-2025 | 780 county-logged events: 386 thunderstorm wind, 246 flood, 103 flash flood, 39 hail; $4,587,000 property damage reported; 2 direct deaths; forecast-zone events (most flood, winter and heat) not countedNOAA Storm Events |
| Homes for sale in ZIP 22042, 2026-09 | median list price $762,500 (+6.5% on the year); 67 active listings; median 44 days on market; 15% with a price cutRealtor.com Research |
| Retail trade in the county, 2012 to 2023 | 2,457 establishments (-10%); 49,386 jobs (-1%)Census CBP |
| Housing market in the county | typical home value $756,212 (+1% 1 yr, +17% 5 yr); typical rent $2,507/mo (+1% 1 yr), 2026-09Zillow Research |
| Traffic on the busiest road within 600 m (2024) | 34,430 vehicles a day on 650 (minor arterial, 6 lanes); 762 trucks; 25 counted segmentsFHWA HPMS |
Summary, model-written
Prosperity Business Campus (Merrifield, VA) is a proposed office-park redevelopment with new housing/park uses. Status is 'proposed' and verified as 'draft'.
Why. Record shows it's 'already in play' (per opp_reasons), with housing market data (ZHVI $756k, ZORI $2,507) aligning with strategy. 11 nearby projects within 10km include two identical proposed apartment projects at the same location (Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments).
Where it stands. Permits show 2024 housing units: 1,032 single-family and 1,829 multi-family. Traffic data shows minor arterial road (6 lanes) with 34,430 ADT. No timeline or developer named.
For a planner
- Status: Proposed (not under construction/sold).
- Context: 11 projects within 10km, including duplicate proposals at same site.
- Market: Housing demand supported by ZHVI/ZORI data.
For a developer
- Opportunity score 10.0 hinges on 'already in play' status, but record lacks construction timeline or buyer details.
- Peer projects (score 6.5) are 4-17km away; all redeveloping office parks in VA.
What we do not know yet
- Record contradicts 'already in play' with 'proposed' status (no construction/sale evidence).
- Duplicate project entries (two identical proposals) unexplained.
- No details on zoning approvals, timeline, or current ownership.
Generated by qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest on Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b) from the fields, parcels, deals and context layers on this page, with no outside knowledge. It is regenerated when the record changes and has not been checked by a person. How it is made.
Similar sites
- 1950 Old Gallows Road, Tysons, VA · Office parks · same strategy: redevelop; also in VA; 4 km away
- Lake Fairfax Business Park, Reston, VA · Office parks · same strategy: redevelop; also in VA; 12 km away
- Woodland Park office park, Herndon, VA · Office parks · same strategy: redevelop; also in VA; 17 km away
- Fair Oaks Business Park, Fair Oaks, VA · Office parks · same strategy: redevelop; also in VA; 11 km away
Elsewhere on the web
Search images: Google · Bing · Commons · references: ULI case studies · Google Scholar
Multifamily screen
- already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans
- median rent $2,230
- housing in the record
Inputs: record fields (size, status) and county Census ACS 2018–2023 figures (growth, rent). How the points work. Not a recommendation.
History and original facts
| County | Fairfax County |
|---|---|
| Census division | 5 · South Atlantic |
| Notes | Draft from ffxnow.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: The 41-acre Prosperity Business Campus industrial office park in Merrifield is proposed to be redeveloped into a residential neighborhood starting with 156 townhomes. |
Not yet recorded: acres, GLA, year opened, original developer, what is there now, retrofit year. Know it? Tell us.
Sources
- Over 100 townhomes proposed for first phase of Merrifield office park ...
1 quoted sentence
Prosperity Business Campus
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